Issued: Sunday 16th June 2013
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling & Captain Bob

Some fine spells but rain to contend with too

Changeable weather conditions are expected through the forecast period, but the good news is there will neither be a washout, nor do we expect a prolonged heatwave.

There will be periods when the weather is more disturbed, notably in the coming week, and again mid-July. sunshine.

Periods of fine weather look likely at the end of June and into the early part of July, and then again at the very end of the forecast, probably after 14th.

Confidence is reasonably high as forecast models have been consistent with these predictions.


*........22/06/13*
Low pressure is going to be teasing the country through this week and so unsettled conditions prevail. However, where is unsettled and where is more settled will vary through the week.
The early part of the week probably best through more northern parts of England and Scotland. Rain in more southern areas of Wales and England. By mid to late week this reverses with the north seeing windier and more unsettled weather, the south enjoying more settled conditions.
Most rainfall affecting the west of Scotland and northwestern parts of England and Ireland.

*23/06/13 to 29/06/13*
It is during this period that changes may start to occur. Through the early part of the week conditions may be staying fairly unsettled with a risk of rain, showers and some brisk winds. We do not expect a washout with most of the rain only light to moderate, and most through more northern and western areas.
Pressure will be building from the south easterly in the week and this will bring more settled weather. This is going to be edging northwards with many areas then dry and increasingly sunny. It will be feeling warmer too.
Rain may continues to affect northern and western Scotland at times, although the east and south will be drier.
Whilst not hot, temperatures in the south should be turning warmer.

*30/06/13......06/07/13*
Pressure may stay fairly high through this period over most of the UK and Ireland,
This should lead to mainly fair conditions with some good spells of sunshine. Remaining warm too, and perhaps even becoming hot through central and southern areas. Some fog may drift onto eastern coasts.
Later in the week there is the threat of some thundery rain moving into southern parts of England, this then edging northwards, introducing more changeable conditions. However, most of the northern 2/3rds of the country stay dry.

*07/07/13......13/07/13*
A steady breakdown may take place through this week. The breakdown may be a little hit-and-miss, but eventually all areas are likely to see some rain. This will be thundery in the south.
The rain should clear eastwards to be replaced by a cooler, more disturbed, westerly airflow. This will bring with it a mix of sunshine and showers.
All areas are likely to see these from mid-week.

*14/07/13......20/07/13*
The more changeable of conditions are set to continue. Westerly winds bring sunshine and showers, but the threat of some more persistent rain at times in the north and west.
Pressure may build to the south again later in the week with drier weather then spreading back north. England and Wales as well as southern Ireland could be dry, sunny and warmer by the end of the week.

Probably feeling milder too.

Simon & Capn Bob
Email me at simon.keeling@weatheronline.co.uk