Issued: 1000hrs Friday 5th October 2018
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson
Wet and windy at times for Ireland
Saturday will be a wet and cold day for central and southern England and Wales. High pressure will then build to give a brighter day on Sunday, but some early fog and frost is possible. It will become very warm during the week ahead as southerly winds develop. The remnants of Hurricane Leslie over the Atlantic will push spells of wet and windy weather into Ireland and the far west of Britain by midweek onward.
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A south-westerly pattern influences the British Isles, bringing milder air back across the country. A lot of low cloud around western coasts and hills, with rain or drizzle, most persistent in western Scotland, also the north-west of Ireland. Small amounts of rain for eastern Scotland. Staying dry for the Midlands, south and east of England. Breezy for all, possible gales locally in the north-west, gusty around hills. Highs 12 to 17C, warmest in eastern districts.
A south to southwesterly airflow draws in some very warm air into midweek. High pressure lies to the south-east, whilst fronts pass to the north-west. A risk of heavy and persistent rain for Ireland and western Scotland, combined with brisk winds. Some low cloud and patchy rain for west Wales and north-west England. A good deal of sunshine for central, south and eastern England. Up to 20C in the east, nearer 13 to 15C west & north-west.
A continued southerly pattern maintains very warm conditions through midweek. Breezy with a risk of heavy rain for Ireland, and may nudge into the far west of Britain, but much of Britain should stay dry. Sunshine best toward the east. Temperatures are likely to top 20C across the Midlands and Home Counties. Nearer 13 to 16C toward the north-west.
Low pressure is forecast to lie west of Britain, with high pressure to the east. A cold front may push eastwards, bringing a cloudy day with some rain, but very little reaching eastern Britain. A little cooler for many, but still warm in the south-east, highs 13 to 17C, locally 20C.
Generally mild or warm, with an ongoing southwesterly pattern. Some further wind and rain may affect the west, but the south and east of Britain should stay dry. Highs 14 to 21C.
High pressure stays toward the east, maintaining a mild southerly airflow. Risk of some rain in the far west & north-west, but many places will be dry, warm and sunny. Highs 14 to 20C.