Issued: 1000hrs Friday 2nd November 2018
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson
Frost rare if any
A change of wind direction compared to late October brings much milder air across the British Isles from the south-west. Rain at times, focused on western areas of Britain. South-facing hills in Devon & Cornwall, south Wales plus Dumfries & Galloway will see the heaviest rainfall during the week ahead. Some localised flooding may develop. Temperatures will be mild overall, with little or no frost.
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A slack and complex pressure pattern. Low pressure toward the south-west feeds spells of rain into south-west England, south Wales and the south of Ireland, locally persistent but may be patchy in nature. Many places across central & eastern England and much of Scotland should get away with a dry day. Fairly cloudy, and dull for some, with fog in the morning. A light south to southeasterly airflow. Temperatures on the mild side night and day, highs 9 to 13C.
Low pressure will be to the west over the Atlantic, whilst high pressure resides over eastern Europe. A strengthening southerly breeze is likely. Fronts pushing north-eastwards bring cloud and pulses of rain, some heavy bursts focused on south-west England & Wales, also southern Ireland. Central & eastern England and much of Scotland should stay dry with occasional sun. Breezy, or windy around western coasts. Generally mild and avoiding frost overnight, highs 10 to 14C.
An ongoing south to southwesterly pattern will push bands of rain in from the Atlantic. Some persistent rain possible in the west, heaviest over south-facing hills, particularly south Wales, also Dumfries & Galloway. Eastern England should again stay mainly dry. Some rain likely advancing into the Midlands. Breezy, but quite mild, highs 9 to 13C.
A south to southwesterly flow continues. Rain at times, spreading to many areas, heaviest and most prolonged in the west & southwest. Brightest in the north-east. Fairly mild, 10 to 13C.
An ongoing mixed outlook. Southwesterly winds continue, with rain or showers, wettest in the west. Breezy. Highs 9 to 13C.
A familiar south to southwesterly pattern is expected. Some rain mainly in the west, whilst eastern areas are drier. Highs 9 to 13C.