Issued: 1000hrs Sunday 4th November 2018
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson
Risk of flooding west & south-west
The south-facing hills of western Britain will receive frequent heavy rain during the week ahead with a risk of localised flooding. Cornwall and Devon, south Wales, the southern Lake District plus Dumfries & Galloway will be the wettest areas. Smaller amounts of rain for central and eastern England. It will be a generally mild week ahead, with temperaturs often in double figures, and frost unlikely.
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Low pressure lies to the west, with fronts pushing in from the Atlantic. Areas of rain will push erratically northeastwards across Britain. Some persistent rain possible in the west, heaviest over south-facing hills, particularly south-west England and south Wales. Some rain likely advancing into the Midlands. Least rain toward the east & north-east. Breezy, or windy in the west with gales near exposed coasts. Quite mild, highs 10 to 14C.
A south to southwesterly flow prevails. A complex series of fronts moving northeastwards. Rain at times, spreading to many areas, heaviest and most prolonged in the south-west of England & Wales. Brightest in the east and north-east. Little rain reaching northern Scotland and eastern England. A few showers for Northern Ireland. Fairly mild and breezy, 10 to 13C.
An ongoing mixed but mild outlook. Southwesterly winds continue, with rain or showers, wettest in the west. Least rain toward south-east England. Heavy rain may sweep back into Ireland and western Britain through the day. Breezy or windy, perhaps gales developing in the west. Highs 9 to 13C.
A familiar mild or very mild south to southwesterly pattern is expected. Some rain mainly in the west, possibly heavy and prolonged, whilst eastern areas are drier. Highs 10 to 14C.
Little overall change, with rain focused on Ireland and western Britain. Smaller amounts of rain reaching the east and north-east. Mild again, highs 10 to 14C.
Unsettled southwesterly winds prevail, with rain focused on the west & north-west. Drier east & south-east. Highs 10 to 13C.