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Seasonal outlook - May 03, 2016
Mixed start June
Split July

Issued: Sunday 1st May 2016
Duty forecasters: Simon Keeling & Captain Bob

Much uncertainty in the forecast for June.
Our current throughs are that the beginning of the month may start rather unsettled and cool.
However, conditions will be tending to improve as pressure builds to the east and a southwest flow develops. becoming milder too.
Western parts of Scotland and Ireland may have the highest tendency for rain and showers, although more eastern and southern parts tending to be drier and brighter.
Overall an average June, although one which is likely to start cooler, but then ending warmer.

Hints of a trough in the Atlantic through July, this tending to turn to flow into the south or southwest.
The result will be milder temperatures with the driest weather in the south and east.
More western parts of the country may well be wetter with cloud and rain tending to be more prevalent here.
Average conditions in northern and western areas, but the east and south probably warmer and drier than average.

Simon Keeling
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