Issued: 0800hrs Monday 8th October 2012
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling
Unsettled conditions for the coming few days. The most persistent rain is likely to be in western areas through Thursday, before cooler and brighter weather follows into the wets on Friday. Confidence in the forecast for the weekend is low, although it is likely to be rather mixed. Indications for early next week are that it may become cooler, but dry.
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Low pressure is expected to be edging into the west of the UK on Thursday. Fronts associated with the low will be lying north to south bringing some heavy periods of rain in western Scotland and Ireland, with rain too for the west of Wales and western England. More eastern areas of England should be drier, although an increased southeasterly wind with a fair amount of cloud. Highs at a milder 12 to 17C.
Low pressure across Scotland on Friday. A front will bring some heavy periods of rain in much of Scotland, with rain in eastern England at first. This clears away to the east, with much brighter, cooler weather following through the UK and Ireland from the west. Breezy for many too. Highs at 7 to 13C.
A trough through the country on Saturday. This is going to be bringing a cool day with sunshine and showers. Most of the showers to the north and west, with the east tending to stay dry and bright. Highs at 8 to 12C.
Low confidence through Sunday. There are likely to be some showers or longer spells of rain around at times, with the threat of low pressure moving into Ireland. Highs around 9 to 13C.
Low pressure to the east of the country on Monday with a ridge of high pressure building to the west. This result in a cooler north or northeast wind flow bringing some cloud and outbreaks of showery rain to the far southeast. Elsewhere it is likely to be a drier day, but rather cool, with sunny spells. Highs at 8 to 13C
A ridge of high pressure through the country on Tuesday. This is likely to give a cold morning with the chance of a slight frost. Generally fair through the day with good spells of sunshine. Highs at 10 to 14C.