Issued: 0800hrs Friday 5th October 2012
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling
Rain this weekend across much of southern Ireland and southern parts of England and Wales.; Much drier and brighter further north. Indications are that many parts of England, Wales and Ireland tend to stay in autumnal, damp conditions for much of the week, with the best sunshine and dry weather further north. Cooler for many, but hints of rising temperatures in the south later in the forecast period, before the temperatures fall again as the weather becomes brighter by the end of the forecast.
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High pressure stays through the north of the country as low pressure develops southwest of Ireland. Fronts are going to be moving northwards bringing cloud and rain to much of Ireland, Wales and the southern half of England. Brighter weather in the northern half of England and Scotland with good spells of sunshine across Scotland, after another early frost. Highs at 18C in southwest England and southern Ireland, a cooler 11 to 14C for most.
High pressure holds on through Scotland on Tuesday bringing plenty of dry weather here and some good spells of sunshine. Fronts associated with low pressure to the south will continue to bring cloud and outbreaks of rain over southern Ireland, Wales and the southern half of England. Highs at 10 to 13C for most, but 17C in the far southwest.
The area of high pressure slips east through Wednesday with low pressure to the southwest. This may push some cloud and outbreaks of rain through Ireland and southwest England. Drier to the north and east with plenty of sunshine to come. Highs near 11 to 16C.
Probably a fairly damp and misty day through Thursday. Pressure flow is going to be slack through the country and this means that the misty and damp weather can last well into the day. Highs around 13 to 17C.
Friday brings indications of high pressure becoming reestablished to the west and the flow tending to become more northwesterly. However, it is probably going to be a rather cloudy and damp day with outbreaks of drizzle at times. Confidence in the detail is low. Highs at a milder 18C in the south, but cooler 10C in northern areas.
With high pressure to the west winds will be turning into the north or northwest. These bring cooler weather south over all parts of the country. There could be showers in the east, some wintry over high ground of Scotland, but drier and brighter to the west and south. Highs at 9 to 14C.